The Houston Texans need a new quarterback. This next quarterback isn’t going to be added to the team to help the Texans win the AFC South. Bad quarterbacks can do that for the Texans (see: Brock Osweiler).
This new quarterback needs to be added with eyes on getting the Texans to the Super Bowl. They already have other pieces in place: a great defense, good running game, dynamic wide receivers.
The best way to get to a Super Bowl is to build a team around a quarterback you drafted.
Don’t believe me? Well, look at this chart of Super Bowl participants since 2000.
|Year||Super Bowl Winner||Aquired||Drafted||Super Bowl Loser||Acquired||Drafted|
|2016||Peyton Manning||FA||1st||Cam Newton||Draft||1st|
|2015||Tom Brady||Draft||6th||Russell Wilson||Draft||3rd|
|2014||Russell Wilson||Draft||3rd||Peyton Manning||FA||1st|
|2013||Joe Flacco||Draft||1st||Colin Kaepernick||Draft||2nd|
|2012||Eli Manning||Draft||1st||Tom Brady||Draft||6th|
|2011||Aaron Rodgers||Draft||1st||Ben Roethlisberger||Draft||1st|
|2010||Drew Brees||FA||2nd||Peyton Manning||Draft||1st|
|2009||Ben Roethlisberger||Draft||1st||Kurt Warner||FA||Undrafted|
|2008||Eli Manning||Draft||1st||Tom Brady||Draft||6th|
|2007||Peyton Manning||Draft||1st||Rex Grossman||Draft||1st|
|2006||Ben Roethlisberger||Draft||1st||Matt Hasselbeck||Trade||6th|
|2005||Tom Brady||Draft||6th||Donovan McNabb||Draft||1st|
|2004||Tom Brady||Draft||6th||Jake Delhomme||FA||Undrafted|
|2003||Brad Johnson||FA||9th||Rich Gannon||FA||4th|
|2002||Tom Brady||Draft||6th||Kurt Warner||FA||Undrafted|
|2001||Trent Dilfer||FA||1st||Kerry Collins||FA||1st|
|2000||Kurt Warner||FA||Undrafted||Steve McNair||Draft||1st|
|Year||AFC Champ Winner||Aquired||Drafted||AFC Champ Loser||Acquired||Drafted|
|2016||Peyton Manning||FA||1st||Tom Brady||Draft||6th|
|2015||Tom Brady||Draft||6th||Andrew Luck||Draft||1st|
|2014||Peyton Manning||FA||1st||Tom Brady||Draft||6th|
|2013||Joe Flacco||Draft||1st||Tom Brady||Draft||6th|
|2012||Tom Brady||Draft||6th||Joe Flacco||Draft||1st|
|2011||Ben Roethlisberger||Draft||1st||Mark Sanchez||Draft||1st|
|2010||Peyton Manning||Draft||1st||Mark Sanchez||Draft||1st|
|2009||Ben Roethlisberger||Draft||1st||Joe Flacco||Draft||1st|
|2008||Tom Brady||Draft||1st||Philip Rivers||Draft||1st|
|2007||Peyton Manning||Draft||1st||Tom Brady||Draft||6th|
|2006||Ben Roethlisberger||Draft||1st||Jake Plummer||FA||2nd|
|2005||Tom Brady||Draft||6th||Ben Roethlisberger||Draft||1st|
|2004||Tom Brady||Draft||6th||Peyton Manning||Draft||1st|
|2003||Rich Gannon||FA||4th||Steve McNair||Draft||1st|
|2002||Tom Brady||Draft||6th||Kordell Stewart||Draft||2nd|
|2001||Trent Dilfer||FA||1st||Rich Gannon||FA||4th|
|2000||Steve McNair||Draft||1st||Mark Brunell||Trade||5th|
|Year||NFC Champ Winner||Aquired||Drafted||NFC Champ Loser||Acquired||Drafted|
|2016||Cam Newton||Draft||1st||Carson Palmer||Trade||1st|
|2015||Russell Wilson||Draft||3rd||Aaron Rodgers||Draft||1st|
|2014||Russell Wilson||Draft||3rd||Colin Kaepernick||Draft||2nd|
|2013||Colin Kaepernick||Draft||2nd||Matt Ryan||Draft||1st|
|2012||Eli Manning||Draft||1st||Alex Smith||Draft||1st|
|2011||Aaron Rodgers||Draft||1st||Jay Cutler||Draft||1st|
|2010||Drew Brees||FA||2nd||Brett Favre||FA||2nd|
|2009||Kurt Warner||FA||Undrafted||Donovan McNabb||Draft||1st|
|2008||Eli Manning||Draft||1st||Brett Favre||Trade||2nd|
|2007||Rex Grossman||Draft||1st||Drew Brees||FA||2nd|
|2006||Matt Hasselbeck||Trade||6th||Jake Delhomme||FA||Undrafted|
|2005||Donovan McNabb||Draft||1st||Michael Vick||Draft||1st|
|2004||Jake Delhomme||FA||Undrafted||Donovan McNabb||Draft||1st|
|2003||Brad Johnson||FA||9th||Donovan McNabb||Draft||1st|
|2002||Kurt Warner||FA||Undrafted||Donovan McNabb||Draft||1st|
|2001||Kerry Collins||FA||1st||Dante Culpepper||Draft||1st|
|2000||Kurt Warner||FA||Undrafted||Shaun King||Draft||2nd|
What does all these graphs and tables mean? Well when you do the math it is all very apparent.
Super Bowl Stats:
65 percent of the time the participating quarterback was drafted by his team.
70 percent of the time the winning quarterback was drafted by his team.
59 percent of the time the winning quarterback was a former first or second round pick.
56 percent of the time the participating quarterback was a former first or second round pick.
A quick note on free agents. Two of the free agent participating, accounting for two wins, are Peyton Manning and Drew Brees. Manning is never available if not for a freak injury and Brees was also injured coming out of his final Chargers year. Both were in high demand as free agents and typically future hall of fame quarterbacks aren’t free agents.
56 percent of the time the participating quarterback was a former first round pick.
69 percent of the time the participating quarterback was a former first or second round pick.
It all tells me that if the Texans want to play in a conference championship or a Super Bowl the most likely way is drafting a first or second round quarterback. That should be their goal this offseason. Scout, study and find the best quarterback they can in either the first or second round of the draft. If they do that, pair it with their top notch defense and the Texans will have a shot in the next few years to do something they have never done (and currently the only NFL franchise never to do it) play in the Conference Championhsip Game, and maybe, just maybe, a Super Bowl.