Two weeks ago – 2-2 (wins with WVU and Oklahoma, losses with BC and Virginia Tech)
Overall – 9-12
After a week off, back at it. Here we go…
TCU +2 vs. Texas Tech – I like grabbing the Horned Frogs getting some points at home. Texas Tech historically hasn’t reacted well after a big upset win (see their performance last year after beating Oklahoma). TCU is playing without Casey Pachall for the rest of the season, but they seemed to get their bearings in a beatdown against Baylor. I say they win this game outright.
Texas -8.5 vs. Baylor – Chalk this one up in the anger/revenge category. Texas is coming off a week of getting clobbered by the national media after their blowout loss to Oklahoma. Mack Brown’s job is in open question from coast to coast. I think the Longhorns will rally in Austin to put together a big performance against the Bears, who can’t stop anyone on defense.
Michigan State +9.5 at Michigan – Quietly, the Wolverines have bounced back from a 2-2 start with blowout wins against Purdue and Illinois. Their defense has really stepped up after shaky efforts against Alabama and Air Force. I think Michigan is going to win this game, mainly because they have to (dropped 4 in a row to the Spartans). But, this is a very high line. Denard Robinson will have some trouble against MSU’s defense, and the game will be closer than this line.
Tennessee +20 vs. Alabama – This may be a bit of a reach, but no pick against the spread really is. My goal is to catch Alabama looking ahead to showdowns with Mississippi State and LSU. This game is in Knoxville, and the Volunteers have been fairly competitive in losses to both UGA and MSU. At some point, even dominant teams slow down in the middle of a season, and I pick this one to be a tad closer than 20.
West Virginia -3 vs. Kansas State – Another bounceback game, similar to the Texas pick above. I believe Kansas State is too limited to go undefeated for too long, and their campaign will end in Morgantown. Geno Smith isn’t going to struggle again like he did in Lubbock last Saturday.
Mike Meltser can be heard on MaD Radio from 10am-2pm