3 Weeks Ago – 3-1
Overall – 18-30
Skipped a few weeks with some work responsibilities and Thanksgiving, so I’ll try and make up for it this week.
Southern Miss +13.5 at Houston – I like the Cougars to win, but all the rampant speculation about Kevin Sumlin possibly (likely?) ending up at Texas A&M makes me believe this game is going to be a close game. The UH players have to see the headlines about their head coach. It will not be easy to be 100% focused with that type of program-changing story going on.
Michigan State +9.5 vs Wisconsin – The first Big Ten Championship Game is a rematch of a classic from earlier in the season, with an MSU Hail Mary to win at the final horn. Like the CUSA title match, I expect the Badgers to find a way to win, but this line is too high.
Mark Dantonio has done a very good job in East Lansing, and this team has a legitimately top-notch defense. This one has the feeling of a 5-7 point game.
Oklahoma +3.5 at Oklahoma State – I absolutely love this line. If I know Bob Stoops at all, he is going to win this type of game straight up. OU has their standard baffling losses this season (Texas Tech, Baylor), while the Cowboys have to bounce back off a season-ruining loss against Iowa State.
This reminds me of the Big 12 Title games the Sooners played against Missouri a few years ago. One team having a fantastic season, the other very talented, but ultimately disappointing. Oklahoma tends to use these types of games to release their frustrations.
Virginia Tech -7 vs Clemson – The Tigers are a dead football team walking, coming off humiliations against NC State and in-state rival South Carolina. I think they’re mentally finished, after rolling through their schedule unbeaten into late October.
I realize that the Tigers won in Blacksburg earlier this season, but I expect this to be a revenge game for the Hokies. Va Tech has stabilized itself with 7 wins in a row since that 20-3 loss, and I expect Frank Beamer’s squad to handle Clemson in the usually lame ACC Championship Game.