HOUSTON (CBS Houston)
Last week – 1-4
Overall – 14-26
It’s incredible to be this bad through 9 weeks of a season. You would figure that since I am picking the legit spreads, my % would be anywhere between 40-60. Nope; I’m winning 35% of picks this season.
Missouri +2.5 at Baylor – The Bears have given up 55 and 59 points in their last 2 weeks, and we’ve known about their awful defense for a while. The Tigers have a good run-pass young QB in James Franklin, who rallied that team for a big win last Saturday against Texas A&M. Franklin has pretty good weapons with RB Henry Josey, TE Michael Egnew, and WRs like TJ Moe.
The way Mizzou runs their offense will make it very challenging for Baylor to make any stops. This could (will?) end up in a shootout, but I just believe MU is the better team.
LSU +5 at Alabama – Don’t let any analyst fool you into thinking they have any edge/info on this game that all of us lack. We all know the deal: two teams with elite defenses, good running games, and some question marks at QB. I like Jarrett Lee over AJ McCarron (Lee with no picks since mid-September).
Really, my logic for this pick is simple. Even in Tuscaloosa, you’re getting the best team in CFB with 5 points. I’ll take the points.
Texas A&M +13.5 at Oklahoma – I just feel like this is a lot of points, even against a Sooner team that can put up a ton. A&M feels like a team that can play some big games after their season goes (somewhat) down the drain with 3 blown leads and losses.
We all know the Aggies can’t stop anybody this season (especially after intermission), but they can play offense with anybody. No matter how bad it gets, these 5 players are basically as good as it gets in college football – Ryan Tannehill, Cyrus Gray, Cristine Michael, Jeff Fuller, and Ryan Swope. You can score against OU, as Texas Tech proved two weekends ago.
Bob Stoops usually rallies teams after losses very well, and the Sooners ran away from Kansas State after a bait-and-switch type of first half last week. It’s 13.5, and not 14.5, but I lean with the Aggies.
Washington +16 vs Oregon – I took the Huskies a few weeks ago against Stanford, and it didn’t work out, but I still believe in that team. Chris Polk is one of the most unheralded players in the country, and had a dominant 5 TD performance against Arizona last Saturday night. Keith Price is a good up-and-coming QB.
Unlike the Cardinal, Oregon is not going to walk into Seattle and impose their will through tons of physicality; the Ducks use their spread-offense, tempos, and speed to beat you. Basically, I think Steve Sarkisian has enough talent to cover a more than 2-TD spread here.