Last week – 3-3
Overall – 12-17
Hit on a few of my picks last Saturday, but still not enough to actually make any headway on that ugly season record. I’m going to pick 6 games this week. For the first time, EVERY SINGLE PICK is a team playing on the road. Thus, I forsee either an epic disaster, or a 5-2 type of weekend.
Wisconsin -7 at Michigan State – The Badgers have been a covering machine all season, and I believe this is a favorable matchup for them in East Lansing. UW has the type of physicality that can match up well with MSU (in contrast to Michigan last week). Russell Wilson is a far superior QB to Kirk Cousins, who makes mistakes when he’s pressured. This game will be competitive for a while, but Wisconsin pulls away in the fourth quarter.
Washington +20 at Stanford – If I actually put money on games, this is one I definitely would. It’s shocking that a Washington team that has only lost one game (a competitive 51-38 decision at Nebraska) would be underdogs by 20, even against a top 8-9 team. The Huskies have played very well recently, with big wins against Utah and Colorado.
We know Stanford has a very proficient offense with Andrew Luck, but Keith Price has been a very capable replacement for Jake Locker. I expect the Cardinal to win this game, but I’d be genuinely surprised if it was by three touchdowns or more.
Cincinnati +3 at South Florida – Pretty fair line, but I’ve been somewhat impressed by the Bearcats this season. They’ve won 4 games in a row, and Zach Collaros is a very solid QB. Meanwhile, the Bulls enter this game off 2 straight losses. One wasn’t even competitive (against Pittsburgh) and the other was a bit closer, at UConn. Give me Collaros over BJ Daniels here.
Maryland +17.5 at Florida State – I think the line is a little too high for a Seminole team that lost 3 in a row before hammering Duke last Saturday. Maryland was competitive into the fourth quarter against Clemson, and ended up losing 56-45. The Terps have a new QB in CJ Brown, who seems to have ignited the offense a little bit, and 17.5 is a decent-sized cushion.
Georgia Tech +3 at Miami – The Yellow Jacket suffered their first loss of the season, but I never thought that team was going undefeated. Virginia had two weeks to prepare for the triple-option offense, which is a big advantage during the regular season. Miami picked up a nice win over North Carolina, but I’m not sold on that team right now.
GT is similar to Virginia Tech, in the sense that you like those teams coming off bad/shaky losses. The line would imply that these teams are even, and I think Georgia Tech is flat-out better.
Illinois -4 at Purdue – The Illini were horrific offensively (and overall) against Ohio State, and since Ron Zook is the head coach, that means they’ll rally with a big effort this week. I know that Purdue played competitively against Penn State, but I don’t believe that the Nittany Lions are a top-echelon team. The Boilermakers were utterly hapless against Notre Dame, and that game sticks in my mind.
Nathan Scheelhause is a much better QB than we saw last week, and he has a terrific target in WR AJ Jenkins. Off the big loss, Illinois will bounce back.