Notre Dame -3 at Michigan
The Irish are 0-1, but they were -5 in turnover differential against South Florida last week, and only lost by 3 pts. Meanwhile, the Wolverines cruised by Western Michigan 34-10 in a lightning-shortened game, but showed a bunch of struggles on D. WMU QB Alex Carder was consistently able to go down the field against that Wolverines defense, but he started to turn the ball over way too much.
Replace Carder with Tommy Rees and surround him with Michael Floyd, TJ Jones, and Cierre Wood, and UM will have a tough time on D. It’s the first ever night game at Michigan Stadium, and Denard Robinson might win the game by himself, but I think ND has more talent overall.
Alabama -10 at Penn State
I’m rolling with a bunch of road favorites in college football, which is always dangerous. I just believe that Alabama is a big-time team this season, and has way too much for the Nittany Lions. PSU’s offense talent doesn’t thrill me, and they’re using 2 quarterbacks. Bama is rotating AJ McCarron and Phillip Sims also, but Nick Saban has an excellent defense and running game to fall back on.
I think Penn State will keep this one close early, but the Crimson Tide rolls 33-14 or so.
Rice +1.5 vs Purdue
The lone underdog I’ll take this Saturday. Maybe Nate Griffin has my mind warped, but he’s convinced the Owls are going to pull off the (slight) upset. They did compete very well with Texas deep into the 3rd quarter last Saturday, and seem to be more set at the QB spot this season.
I’ve never been a huge fan of Danny Hope’s coaching ability; his team had to stave off Middle Tennesse State 27-24 last weekend, which doesn’t bode well for this week. Rice is always good for a couple of quality efforts against bigger-name teams, and one of those will come Saturday.
Tennessee -4.5 vs. Cincinnati
The Vols had no issue with Montana last Saturday, and have more explosive weapons this season on offense. Tyler Bray is a quarterback people need to remember, and has good WRs with Justin Hunter and Da’Rick Rogers. The Bearcats also are pretty good offensively with Zach Collaros at QB, but they’ve been terrible on D.
I do think the spread is a little high, but I’ll roll the dice with the Volts attack.
San Diego State -9.5 at Army
I have a soft spot for the Black Knights, having worked on their game broadcasts back in 2008. This season seems like a big rebuilding effort, after a 49-26 loss to Northern Illinois last Saturday.
San Diego State lost Brady Hoke to Michigan, but Rocky Long has done a solid job so far. Ryan Lindley is a very good QB who many people don’t know about. Again, road games are tricky in CFB, but I don’t think the atmosphere at Michie Stadium is like the ones you see in Knoxville or Columbus. SDSU wins this one going away.